Voting behaviour
- Created by: meliasyd
- Created on: 18-05-19 13:44
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- Most important factors affecting voting behaviour
- Age
- 2017 General Election = most important factor
- 18-25 = 27% Conservatives 62% Labour
- 65+ = 61% Conservatives 25% Labour
- Labour's young votes makes less difference because they have lower turnout
- 18-25 = 27% Conservatives 62% Labour
- Labour's young votes makes less difference because they have lower turnout
- 2010 = age less important
- 18-24 = 30% Conservatives 31% Labour
- 2017 General Election = most important factor
- Class
- Class dealignment = Traditions of working class and Labour and middle class and Conservative no longer exist
- Reasons for : Margaret Thatcher + working class vote. Labour vote moved to UKIP. Increase of recency voting. Decline of working class. Expansion of middle class.
- Partisan dealignment
- Sociological model = Classes AB = Conservatives, Classes DE= Labour
- 2017 = sociological model, AB voters = 47% Conservative, 37% Labour DE voters = 38% Conservative, 47% Labour.
- Sociological model = evident, but less stark
- Class dealignment = Traditions of working class and Labour and middle class and Conservative no longer exist
- Gender
- Little significance
- 2015 - Men = 38% Conservative, 30% Labour Women = 37% Conservative, 33% Labour
- 2010 - Men = 38% Conservative, 28% Labour Women = 36% Conservative, 31% Labour
- 2017 - Men = 44% Conservative, 40% Labour Women = 43% Conservative 42% Labour
- Little significance
- Race
- Black and Minority Ethnic groups consistently vote Labour
- 2015 election - 65% Labour , 23% Conservatives
- 2010 election - 60 % Labour, 16% Conservatives
- 2017 election - 73% Labour , 19% Conservatives
- Black and Minority Ethnic groups consistently vote Labour
- Recency Factors
- eg. Valence issues - similar to rational choice theory
- Competence of each party
- Economics (Personal and National)
- Centrism = avoiding voting for extremes
- eg. 2010, all parties moved towards centre to attract majority vote in wake of Blair premiership
- Media Influence
- Dominant ideology theory
- 'It's the Sun wot won it', the Sun newspaper's claim to Conservative victory in 1992 election.
- Dominant ideology theory
- Party leadership
- Image of party leader
- 2010 General Election debate swayed opinion polls towards Nick Clegg + against Gordon Brown
- Image of party leader
- eg. Valence issues - similar to rational choice theory
- Region
- North / South divide - Middle England = battleground, swing seats
- Inner cities / industrialised areas = Labour support
- Issue voting
- Biggest issue in recent times = Brexit.
- Big impact in European elections, Local Elections recently held in 2019
- Other issues with big impact = Sleaze (1997), Iraq War (2003)
- RATIONAL CHOICE VOTING THEORY
- Which manifesto best represents issues and how people wish for them to be dealt with
- Ivor Crewe
- Personal benefit
- Biggest issue in recent times = Brexit.
- Age
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